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HomeBlog Science examines alarmimg trends in agriculture
Science examines alarmimg trends in agriculture
Written by Gary Scott
Friday, 18 November 2011
There is growing concern among scientists that the impacts of climate change may have catastraphic effects on the worlds staple food supply. Increased use of micro farming can help on a local level... Numerous local messages and individuals have looked at micro business opportunities in farming.
I was thinking about the value of having a micro business in
agriculture when the trip tickets from our orange grove recently
arrived. These tickets are the receipts that truckers provide when
picking up oranges harvested from the grove for delivery to the packing
house.
My thinking ran along the lines of ”We can earn more and make a
difference to health and the environment in small but important ways”.
We first took out under-producing trees, and older palms tat were taking valuable space
We sprayed the remaining orange trees with the totally bio degradable
Bio Wash once in the 2010-201 year. (Use of Bio Wash acts like a plant
booster and can help reduce the need for fertilizers and insecticides so
the crop can become pesticide free.)
The Trip Tickets showed our harvest rising to 2,484… despite still having only 2/3rds as many trees as in 2009-2010.
In other words yield per tree doubled!
“Is this a fluke?” we asked.
Our grove manager is one of the largest in Florida. Farmers are
conservative so our dinky 12 acres will have to do more than this to
make them look at this seriously.
So we asked them to spray with Bio Wash twice in 2011-2012. We did
and now the harvest is in with … trip tickets for 3,394 boxes… though we
still only have 2/3rd as many producing trees as 2009-2010. Production
is up from one box a tree in 2009-2010 to 2.83 boxes this year. With
strong citrus prices I expect to have tripled the grove’s profit… while
making the grove more environmentally friendly and perhaps letting the
big boys in this business at least take a glance.
Now the grove managers are listening a bit more and we’ll spray with Bio Wash four times this year.
Earning income is always important…. even more so in today’s
economically tough regime. Being able to earn while improving the
world’s food supply and helping the environment is even more important.
An excerpt from a June 4th 2011 New York Times article “A Warming
Planet Struggles to Feed Itself” by Justin Gillis helps explain the
importance of a micro food revolution when it says says: CIUDAD
OBREGÓN, Mexico — The dun wheat field spreading out at Ravi P. Singh’s
feet offered a possible clue to human destiny. Baked by a desert sun and
deliberately starved of water, the plants were parched and nearly dead.
The excerpt continues: The rapid growth in farm output that
defined the late 20th century has slowed to the point that it is failing
to keep up with the demand for food, driven by population increases and
rising affluence in once-poor countries.
Consumption of the four staples that supply most human calories —
wheat, rice, corn and soybeans — has outstripped production for much of
the past decade, drawing once-large stockpiles down to worrisome
levels. The imbalance between supply and demand has resulted in two huge
spikes in international grain prices since 2007, with some grains more
than doubling in cost.
Now, the latest scientific research suggests that a previously
discounted factor is helping to destabilize the food system: climate
change.
Temperatures are rising rapidly during the growing season in some
of the most important agricultural countries, and a paper published
several weeks ago found that this had shaved several percentage points
off potential yields, adding to the price gyrations.
For nearly two decades, scientists had predicted that climate
change would be relatively manageable for agriculture, suggesting that
even under worst-case assumptions, it would probably take until 2080 for
food prices to double.
In part, they were counting on a counterintuitive ace in the
hole: that rising carbon dioxide levels, the primary contributor to
global warming, would act as a powerful plant fertilizer and offset many
of the ill effects of climate change.
Until a few years ago, these assumptions went largely
unchallenged. But lately, the destabilization of the food system and the
soaring prices have rattled many leading scientists.
A scramble is on to figure out whether climate science has been
too sanguine about the risks. Some researchers, analyzing computer
forecasts that are used to advise governments on future crop prospects,
are pointing out what they consider to be gaping holes. These include a
failure to consider the effects of extreme weather, like the floods and
the heat waves that are increasing as the earth warms.
A rising unease about the future of the world’s food supply came
through during interviews this year with more than 50 agricultural
experts working in nine countries.
These experts say that in coming decades, farmers need to
withstand whatever climate shocks come their way while roughly doubling
the amount of food they produce to meet rising demand. And they need to
do it while reducing the considerable environmental damage caused by
the business of agriculture.
Agronomists emphasize that the situation is far from hopeless.
Examples are already available, from the deserts of Mexico to the rice
paddies of India, to show that it may be possible to make agriculture
more productive and more resilient in the face of climate change.
Farmers have achieved huge gains in output in the past, and rising
prices are a powerful incentive to do so again.
But new crop varieties and new techniques are required, far
beyond those available now, scientists said. Despite the urgent need,
they added, promised financing has been slow to materialize, much of the
necessary work has yet to begin and, once it does, it is likely to take
decades to bear results.
“There’s just such a tremendous disconnect, with people not
understanding the highly dangerous situation we are in,” said Marianne
Bänziger, deputy chief of the International Maize and Wheat Improvement
Center, a leading research institute in Mexico.
“What a horrible world it will be if food really becomes short
from one year to the next,” he said. “What will that do to society?”
Anyone interested in earning through agriculture can make a
difference. None of us in micro businesses will make a big noise. Our
12 acres of oranges is so tiny but the story even when the successes are
as small as ours… when combined with many other small achievements… can
add an important overall picture.
Investing in the environment and investing in agriculture simply
makes sense in these stagflationary times. When such investments also
help the environment and natural health, the return on investment goes
way beyond a good bottom line.